Cain vs. Hamels, who’s cuisine will reign supreme?
Here we go, Ace vs. Ace (Spy vs. Spy anyone?). These two are surprisingly well matched. Hamels and Cain were both drafted out of high school in 2002. Hamels, out of San Diego, was the number 17 overall pick and Cain, out of Germantown TN, was the 25th pick. Cain was the first to pitch in the Majors when he started a game against Colorado on August 29th of 2005. He went 5 innings. Struck out 2 and walked 4. Lost 2-1 on a solo HR by Matt Holiday in the second and when, in the 4th, Todd Helton scores after a walk, 2 base hits, and a double play. This would later be known as being “Cained”. Hamels debuted on May 12th of 2006. He also went 5 innings, striking out 7 and walking 5, giving up no runs. Since then, Hamels has an ERA of 3.36 to Cain’s 3.28. Their career stats stand at (Hamels/Cain):
GAMES CG IP HR BB SO WHIP
199/222 10/15 1287/1444 155/120 322/498 1216/1209 1.136/1.175
Their 2012 Stats are:
GS ERA IP HR BB SO WHIP
18/18 3.07/2.56 126/126.2 14/12 30/25 125/124 1.087/.955
If we look at Hamels at home vs. Cain on the road we see:
ERA IP HR BB SO WHIP
2.76/3.28 (9 games each) 64/57.2 6/7 17/17 69/55 1.097/1.197
And yet Hamels is 5-3 at home!!
So, what to look for in today’s game: In Wins:
SO/9 SO/BB HR WHIP
8.6/9.9 4.28/5.5 7/3 1.000 .929
SO/9 SO/BB HR WHIP
10.1/7.7 4.67/4.50 4/5 1.360/1.238
A very intriguing stat is that in day games, Hamels is 5-4 (6-0 at night!!) while Cain is 6-0 during the day (4-3 at night).
A look at the umpiring crew reveals no news as apparently this crew has not officiated either of the two teams.
When I started looking at this game, it was from the perspective that this is a game where the bats go cold and the giants lose. Their Ace defeats our Ace. But Hamels’ day game stats (5-3) give a sliver of hope. Truly difficult to believe that Hamels gave up 7 HR’s in games that he’s won. Thankfully we have Brandon Crawford. Interesting to note that Matt has more walks when he wins than when he loses. Obviously he needs to keep it in the park though (Cole seems to give up more homers in wins, go figure). It’s easy to predict a low scoring affair, after all it IS Cain on the mound. But if it is, it’s also possible to predict that Matty, probably not getting the W, prevails in the end.
Now, does someone else want to go after Ted?