When to Look at Runs Per Game and When to Look Away
Even with last night’s run explosion, the Giants are averaging only 3.07 runs per game since the all star break. Take that game out and the 9 run game from earlier this month and they’re averaging 2.19 RPG. This is why I’ve recently come to distrust looking at RPG or team ERA’s unless it’s over the course of an entire season. There are just too many one-off games that can skew the stats over a short period of games.
In 2010 they scored 4.30 RPG
In 2011 they scored 3.51 RPG (dead last in NL)
In 2012 they scored 4.43 RPG
and so far in 2013 they are scoring 3.82 RPG.
On the pitching side, our team ERA in 2010 was 3.36 (leading the NL).
So clearly, this year, it has been the pitching AND the hitting that have us where we are today. You could argue that the hitting affects the pitching more than the pitching affects the hitting, but the reality is, both have sucked this year. It would be interesting to discuss what the worst RPG a team could tolerate and still make it to the playoffs. I’m not going to look it up, don’t really know where I’d start. But our ERA in 2011 was a very nice 3.20. Could we have made the playoffs if we’d averaged 3.80 RPG? We finished 8 games behind AZ that season but, thanks to the Sun Dressed Goddess, we were in it until the last week or two.
total side note random thought:
Here is a pic of Ryan Sanberg from 1984:
and here is a pic of him at age 53 yesterday:
Do they test managers for steroids too?