THE San Francisco Giants Blog

Winning

Posted in Uncategorized by Flavor on May 5, 2018

I’d like to point out that when I made my prediction for 88 wins it was before Bum and Smarge went down and there was still hope that Melatonin might still be able to pitch. I didn’t change my win # after all those guys went down because as a great Flapper once told me, “there are no rebuys at the Flap.” So I won’t be changing it now that we’ve likely lost Cueto for the year. And really, predictions are stupid anyway. The team you start with is never the team you end the long season with, so who really knows anything with a baseball seasonal prediction?

Having said all of that, we are on pace to win 86 wins. That isn’t going to get it done for a wild card spot but they have been entertaining and competitive. Actually I think my boldest pick was that the bullpen would surprise everyone and I think they’ve even surprised me. The entire pitching staff has been nails and maybe this is all happening with smoke and mirrors but I don’t think so. You can’t go 17-15 by sending nothing but magicians and their tricks to the mound every single game.

I woke up this morning thinking of one word to describe this team so far and I landed on the word “resilient.” They haven’t made a single excuse about all these lost arms they just go out there and get the job done. Sometimes that job has required the bats to sack up and they’ve done that many times already this year often coming back from a large deficit–something last year’s limp bats couldn’t do.

Realistically, I now question whether they can make a run this year with the team they have. The season is just too long, they’ve already lost their best arms and you have to think more of these guys will be going down as the year progresses. But a resilient team can surprise you. Already, they have surprised everyone. Including me.

Derby Talk:

This is, without question, my favorite day of the year. The Breeders Cup comes close, the Super Bowl maybe, obviously certain holidays with fam, but Derby Day is at the top. I have had mixed results at best in betting the Derby. With 20 horses running the longest distance any of them have ever run before, it’s a tough race to handicap. A lot can happen, even a one split second bad decision by a jockey can ruin the trip and the chances of winning. This year an interesting thing has happened. I am dead set AGAINST both of the favorites. Neither will be on top of any of my tickets. Justify and Mendelsshon are regally bred steeds who will likely have HOF careers by the time they retire. But that doesn’t mean either wins the Derby today. Justify didn’t run at 2 and until that qualification gets met (it hasn’t happened since Apollo won in 1882) I won’t be betting on a horse who didn’t run at two. Plus, those fractions in the SA Derby were a joke, he’s faced an average of 4.7 horses in his career thus far (19 today) and Baffert being his trainer is going to overvalue him in the eye of the public. In fact if this were Mick Ruis training him they’d say he was crazy for trying to rush a horse to the Derby like this. Therefore, for me, he’s a toss out for the top spot.

Mendelsshon is getting too much credit for his UAB Derby win. Yes he won by 18 lengths, yes it was stylish. But it was on a wicked speed favoring track. 16 of the previous 17 dirt races in Dubai were won by the horse who got the lead on the rail. By the way, the horse who came in 2nd that day (Rayya) ran up the track yesterday in the Oaks. So while Mendelsshon has every right to one day be a superstar I don’t think it will be today.

And if you can throw the top two betting favorites out of the top spot on your tickets you are now looking at an awful lot of prices to get the job done. I will have several horses on top in my pick 3, pick 4 and tri and super. I won’t list them all off because that would be overkill. If you put a gun to my head I’d still pick Good Magic to win it but I’ve gone back and forth between him and Bolt d’Oro. Doesn’t matter, I’ll have both (and others).

Today is the only day you get. Go do something *resilient* with it.

 

Advertisements

218 Responses

Subscribe to comments with RSS.

  1. unca_chuck said, on May 5, 2018 at 8:13 pm

    Jesus. The refs call the foul on Bron 2 seconds after the play is over.

  2. xoot said, on May 5, 2018 at 8:14 pm

    Petit pitched competent middle relief again for the a’s tonight.

    • xoot said, on May 5, 2018 at 8:19 pm

      well, he’s still pitching, so . . . .

    • zumiee said, on May 5, 2018 at 8:21 pm

      Yeah, it’s cool to see him still rockin’ on, one of the heroes of ’14.

  3. unca_chuck said, on May 5, 2018 at 8:15 pm

    This fuckning announcer can’t add.

  4. zumiee said, on May 5, 2018 at 8:16 pm

    If Cleveland can win the East again, the East is still crap.

  5. unca_chuck said, on May 5, 2018 at 8:16 pm

    Crazy game. 8 seconds, score tied. Toronto came back from 17 down.

  6. unca_chuck said, on May 5, 2018 at 8:17 pm

    Wow. Brion Bron wit the game winner.

  7. zumiee said, on May 5, 2018 at 8:17 pm

    OK, that was a pretty nice shot at the end.

  8. zumiee said, on May 5, 2018 at 8:22 pm

    Epic fail from the Raptors in this series. They’re the Nats of the NBA.

    • Macdog said, on May 5, 2018 at 8:45 pm

      That’s an excellent comparison.

  9. unca_chuck said, on May 5, 2018 at 8:31 pm

    Yeah, they lost their shit when they blew the opener.

  10. zumiee said, on May 5, 2018 at 8:45 pm

    D-Backs win a walk-off.

  11. xoot said, on May 5, 2018 at 9:07 pm

    This may be the worst beat writer piece I’ve ever read (but, it’s topical):
    https://www.sfchronicle.com/sports/article/Giants-clobber-Braves-again-behind-surprising-12891333.php

    • zumiee said, on May 5, 2018 at 9:23 pm

      Yeah, Henry is not awesome.
      It does have this nice photo, though:

      • xoot said, on May 5, 2018 at 10:23 pm

        Let’s not get ahead of ourselves. He’ll lead off tomorrow and race and rake then–but it’s a long season . . . .


Comments are closed.

%d bloggers like this: