Guessing the Starting 8 HR Total

Posted in Uncategorized by Flavor on April 2, 2015

How many home runs do you think this crew will hit? 100? That’s what Kuip said on the radio today. Here’s my quick take:

Pagan: 4

Aoki: 2

Belt: 20

Pence: 20

McGehee: 7

Crawford: 15

Posey: 23

Panic: 12

Apparently, I’m going with 103

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blade3colorado said, on April 2, 2015 at 8:49 am

Pagan: 3

Aoki: 8

Belt: 25

Pence: 20

McGehee: 14

Crawford: 11

Posey: 27

Panic: 10

Total: 118
dirtnrocksnomo said, on April 2, 2015 at 9:10 am

Pagan: 6
Aoki: 4
Belt: 25
Pence: 24
McGehee: 10
Crawford: 12
Posey: 22
Panic: 6

Total:109

If Maxwell displaces Aoki I’ll go with 120.
chipower9 said, on April 2, 2015 at 9:14 am

Pagan – 7
Aoki – 5
Belt – 22
Pence – 21
McGehee – 11
Craw – 9
Posey – 24
Panic – 10
Total: 109

And if I am wrong, not a big deal, IMO. I do not think the long-ball is going to be that key with the team this year. I see them putting the ball in play regularly (hitting those spacious Phone Park gaps) and keeping the line moving, and to me, that is more important than the HRs.
chipower9 said, on April 2, 2015 at 9:18 am

Here are a couple of things I posted towards the end of the last thread, and I think you Flappers will find interesting:

The first is this article on Caballo Loco…discussing his relationship with Mays, among other things.

http://tinyurl.com/mqyszpu

The other thing I heard on the local news last night during a story on the Giants upcoming season, etc., was that the ballpark will be paid off in two years.
- Bozo said, on April 2, 2015 at 9:37 am
  
  I’ll see your 103 and raise it.
  Pagan – 11
  Aoki – 1
  Belt – 29
  Pence – 20
  McGehee – 12
  Craw – 17
  Posey – 21
  Panic – 8
  Total: 119
  
  Bench
  Arias – 0
  Duffster – 5
  Maxwell – 9
  Ishi – 5
  Sanchez (and Susac when Hector is on the DL) -7
  Total: 26
  
  Pitchers
  Bum – 4
  The rest – 3
  Total: 7
  
  Grand total – 152
  - chipower9 said, on April 2, 2015 at 9:59 am
    
    NP, John. I like your addition of the bench and pitching staff. I would more or less agree with your numbers, except I see Duffy with more like 8 and Arias with ONE.
  - stickman said, on April 2, 2015 at 1:25 pm
    
    Bozo: So far your comprehensive totals get my vote.
- Bozo said, on April 2, 2015 at 9:39 am
  
  Sorry Chi, that wasn’t supposed to be a comment under your post.
  - dirtnrocksnomo said, on April 2, 2015 at 9:45 am
    
    lulz
giants54 said, on April 2, 2015 at 9:22 am

Pence losing time won’t help. A little troubling mcG didn’t homer in ST.
I guess no more than 100 unless Belt goes ballistic and Maxwell plays a lot and goes 2012, but they could lead the league in triples. And I think a top 5 ba/obp. Aoki Pagan Belt Posey Pence McG Panik Duffy all capable of .280-300.
Bottomline: don’t think offense will be the problem
- chipower9 said, on April 2, 2015 at 10:01 am
  
  Agree that offense will not be a problem, 54. And Casey was not brought in to hit the long ball.
wilcojoe said, on April 2, 2015 at 9:24 am

Pagan- 3
Aoki- 1
Belt-27
Pence- 20
Mcghee-9
Crawford- 12
Posey- 23
Panik- 8
Maxwell (assumes full time platoon role)- 18
blade3colorado said, on April 2, 2015 at 9:29 am

Chi and giants54 are both right – this team will maximize the hit and run, as well as steals (essentially the same formula, coupled with pitching they’ve used in the recent past). The Phone Park is made for that (sans a Barry Bonds – which we don’t have).
wilcojoe said, on April 2, 2015 at 9:29 am

Kuiper said 100 eh? What did Kruk predict? 200?
- chipower9 said, on April 2, 2015 at 10:01 am
  
  lqtm…
  
  What, you calling Kruk a “homer,” Wilco?
Bozo said, on April 2, 2015 at 9:53 am

For the Wrigley fan in all of us. You knew it would happen, but not having Dot racing, lights flashing, shit music blaring, was one of the things I loved about the place.
http://sports.yahoo.com/blogs/mlb-big-league-stew/holy-moly–wrigley-field-has-a-jumbotron-now-203920392.html
- chipower9 said, on April 2, 2015 at 10:07 am
  
  On my bucket list. I need to get back there for a Giant-Cubbie series.
  
  I also want to get back to NY for a Mets-Giant series. And of course this would have to include a Flapalooza with the right coast Flappers, too.
  - Bozo said, on April 2, 2015 at 10:19 am
    
    I went when the Cubs were playing the Dodgers, so I got to root for the Cubs. Had a blast except some days can be parka weather in April there. They have beer venders, Chi. 16oz Old Styles right to your seat and they have Chicago Dogs, well you knew that, but they were great. The fans know their stuff. I made the mistake of asking my buddy if he knew who was pitching for the Dodgers, and I swear, the whole row in front of me, men, women, children and goats, turned to give me the evil eye. Great times.
  - chipower9 said, on April 2, 2015 at 11:57 am
    
    “….men, women, children and GOATS (the curse lives on). LMAO…
    
    That would be a thought…take in a Dodger-Cub game so I could root for the Cubbies. I actually like the Cubs, and outside of our Giants, they are one of my favorite NL teams. But it would be tough to spend the coin, etc., and not go see them play the Giants.
  - Bozo said, on April 2, 2015 at 12:22 pm
    
    Dude, come out to DC for the game on July 4th, I’ll buy you a beer.
  - chipower9 said, on April 2, 2015 at 2:40 pm
    
    Would love to, John, but most of my duckets are being squirred-away for a trip to Austin later this year (to check out some live music). Perhaps one of these days.
willedav said, on April 2, 2015 at 10:49 am

Wow, 5 or 6 guys getting double figure HRs, playing home games at ATT? 4, tops, would be my guess.
I don’t see it. Even 100 seems like a reach…unless Sabes snags a bat at deadline..
dirtnrocksnomo said, on April 2, 2015 at 11:17 am

The Giants hit 132 last year for 17th in the league. Pretty much middle of the pack. Maybe they end up 20th this year? I agree with giants54 in that I think they’ll play well to their park regardless of HR totals.
Flavor said, on April 2, 2015 at 11:36 am

I really don’t care how many they hit, there are a lot of ways to score runs. St Louis, which came “a Matheny thousand yard stare” away from the WS, hit like 105 last year (guess, not looking it up but it was close to that)
dirtnrocksnomo said, on April 2, 2015 at 11:40 am

True. If I remember correctly Stl notably picked up the HR pace in the playoffs which helped them get to the NLCS. Not looking it up either. I more or less agree with you though. With the exception of Panik
giants54 said, on April 2, 2015 at 12:37 pm

StL hit 105 and runner up KC hit just 95….last!

Interesting SF 10th, Cards 11th, KC 12th in era.
Nipper said, on April 2, 2015 at 1:35 pm

65 HRS MAX! This club needs a power hitting guy for sure. Enjoy the pitcher ABs! You traditionalists will never learn. NL ball all the way baby!
- chipower9 said, on April 2, 2015 at 1:38 pm
  
  You FINALLY got it RIGHT, Nipper (NL ball all the way baby!). Glad to see you come around to REAL BASEBALL…not that panzy-assed junior circuit bullshit they play off as baseball.
gianthead said, on April 2, 2015 at 2:17 pm

I got McGeheeSurferDude with one….Aoki….zero.zero
gianthead said, on April 2, 2015 at 2:34 pm

Pagan 6
Panik 8
Posey 23
Belt 17
Pence 16
McGeheeSurferDude 1
Blanco/Aoki 2/0
Crawford 12

85…..mark it down.

I can see Maxwell the starting LF by May so I will add 10 for him as a starter. 95 then as a revision.
- chipower9 said, on April 2, 2015 at 2:44 pm
  
  Do not see it…I think Aoki gets a longer rope than May. Maxwell in LF is intriguing, though. Maxwell’s lifetime MLB stats are not that great, but I read the other day where he has spent lots of time with BamBam going over tapes of his ABs, and has worked on a new hitting approach that they hope adds consistency to his swing.
- blade3colorado said, on April 2, 2015 at 3:06 pm
  
  I like Maxwell, but no way, no how, does he replace Aoki by May. Hilarious GH. A more likely scenario is him to the bench and then out of MLB a la Hicks last season.
vogelsheiner said, on April 2, 2015 at 2:55 pm

maxwell will only be a platoon against lefties if he hangs around
ewisco said, on April 2, 2015 at 3:14 pm

Ran into some cubbie fans and told them that when they win it, we’re coming to the parade. that thing is going to be EPIC!! Of course I could be dead by then but still.
- blade3colorado said, on April 2, 2015 at 3:17 pm
  
  Just have one of your relatives or a good friend bring your cremation urn to the parade. Technically, you’ve kept your promise. 🙂
- chipower9 said, on April 2, 2015 at 3:23 pm
  
  They will need to enlist the services of a bona-fide witch doctor to lift the curse of the goat, first. 😛
  - pawliekokonuts said, on April 2, 2015 at 4:05 pm
    
    What would be the *acceptable* term for “witch doctor”? Indigenous alternative traditional metaphysical healer?
  - Bozo said, on April 2, 2015 at 5:27 pm
    
    “Indigenous alternative traditional metaphysical healer”, yup, that has always been what I call em.
chipower9 said, on April 2, 2015 at 3:45 pm

Yawn…Top 100 MLB Players for 2015…

http://www.msn.com/en-us/sports/mlb/the-top-100-mlb-players-of-2015/ar-AAajvyG#page=10

Pablo (go fuck yourself) Sandoval – 94
Pence – 50
WTF??? Puig – 21
Bumgarner – 16
Posey – 8
pawliekokonuts said, on April 2, 2015 at 3:47 pm

Finishing last thread: I drove drunk endless times, maybe 6X the limit. In those days, I had cops pull me over and let me drive home (excuse me, to another bar). I’m not sure how much “education” would’ve dissuaded me from my stupid ways. Maybe a DUI would’ve been the best teacher, tho’ I never got a DUI or DWI (deserved many).
pawliekokonuts said, on April 2, 2015 at 3:49 pm

I did see that fine story on Mays and Pagan. Now I like them better. Both of them, Pagan for his respect and passion, Mays for his Mays-ness. Willie really is an asset to these players.
pawliekokonuts said, on April 2, 2015 at 4:03 pm

Pagan 8
Panik 10
Posey 19
Belt 24
Pence 19
Ishikawa 7
H Sanchez 8
Maxwell 12
McGiggles 11
Blanco/Aoki 4/0
Crawford 12
Bumgarner 2
Cain 1
RandomOthers Via Trade/Callup/Miracle: 3

I believe that adds up to 140. See, I told you I ain’t no doomer no more.
Nipper said, on April 2, 2015 at 4:11 pm

If Posey, Pence, Pagan and Belt don’t have career years it’s going to be a long cold summer in SF.
- dirtnrocksnomo said, on April 2, 2015 at 4:16 pm
  
  I’ll settle for a break out year from Belt and career averages for the others.
  - blade3colorado said, on April 2, 2015 at 4:44 pm
    
    Dirt (or Chuck), have you been to the slopes recently? Saw a photo of Squaw Valley, where the skiers were going downhill, with much of the run parallel to them all grass. It looked like less then 6 inches of snow on the ground total. Frickin’ unbelievable.
    
    Thoughts on this water restriction executive order Gov. Brown just signed? What does it mean to the bay area?
unca_chuck said, on April 2, 2015 at 5:13 pm

Not this year. I lucked out last year when we signed up for a couple nights in south shore in December and we got there the day right after a big storm in late march. Didn’t get close this year.
- unca_chuck said, on April 2, 2015 at 5:21 pm
  
  That don’t make sense but you get it. Typing on Bart one handed is a challenge
  - blade3colorado said, on April 2, 2015 at 5:39 pm
    
    No, it makes perfect sense. Here in Denver (as you know), you’re so close to the action, that you usually make a decision to go to the slopes that week or the day before the trip. In the bay area, my ex and I would usually do the weekend trip, which was booked weeks in advance. However, part of the trip (or if no snow) was to gamble. In the Redding area (Old Shasta, near Whiskey Town lake), it was sort of like the Denver situation, i.e., going to Shasta ski resort was a same day/day before decision. Also, they didn’t have many lodging choices (mostly B&B).
unca_chuck said, on April 2, 2015 at 5:15 pm

At this point, Steve it means you have to ask for water at restaurants.
- blade3colorado said, on April 2, 2015 at 5:19 pm
  
  LOL
- Alleykat said, on April 2, 2015 at 5:52 pm
  
  Not only your request for water at a restaurant now,wait till bars cut back on ice cubes in your mixed cocktail.
Bozo said, on April 2, 2015 at 5:32 pm

Hold the presses, I forgot my man Blanco on the HR prediction. Five HRs for Gregor, 4 in the air and 1 inside the park. My new grand total is 157.
Bring it.
unca_chuck said, on April 2, 2015 at 5:45 pm

Shit, Whiskeytown Lake. Took the girls camping there when they were little. Musta been 22 years ago. You could stand on the old highway into town, which is 80′ under water.
- blade3colorado said, on April 2, 2015 at 5:53 pm
  
  The ex and I had a beautiful home on 4 acres at this new development 5 minutes from Whiskeytown Lake. Views of Mt. Lassen, Mt. Shasta, and city lights of Redding. In a few ways (mostly having to do with quality of life), I regretted taking the job promotion in Denver back in ’97 . . . Always planned on moving back after retirement, but then real estate prices exploded there.
DJLoo said, on April 2, 2015 at 6:09 pm

When in doubt, always go with 88…
- Bozo said, on April 2, 2015 at 8:02 pm
  
  When driving, I agree 100%.
pawliekokonuts said, on April 2, 2015 at 6:45 pm

I kept this tab open on my browser ever since October. Now I’ve closed it. It’s a new season.

http://espn.go.com/mlb/playoffs/2014/story/_/id/11788479/madison-bumgarner-san-francisco-giants-wins-world-series-mvp
dirtnrocksnomo said, on April 2, 2015 at 7:03 pm

Blade, My wife I got 2 days in around Christmas and that’s it. My daughter has been pissed that she didn’t get any days in this year. I tried to explain global warming to her last night but it may be a bit much at her age. I imagine sitting around in 20 years talking about skiing and my youngest will be like “yeah, cool story pops. Skiing (eye roll).”
- blade3colorado said, on April 2, 2015 at 7:47 pm
  
  Could very well happen 20 years from now.
wilcojoe said, on April 2, 2015 at 7:25 pm

Peavy looks like he has lost about 10-15 pounds since last season.
- Flavor said, on April 2, 2015 at 7:28 pm
  
  really? I haven’t seen him yet this Spring, I haven’t watching an inning of ST (though I’ve listened to a fair amount on the radio). Not watching the game tonight either, zoned in on The Cardinal possibly bringing home another NIT flag to Maples baby! lqtm?
wilcojoe said, on April 2, 2015 at 7:26 pm

If not more. His face looks frail.
wilcojoe said, on April 2, 2015 at 7:35 pm

I’ve always hated the Bay Bridge series. I think I went to every home opener from 1986-1997. I never attended a Bay Bridge series and never wanted to. I always felt it would take away from the beauty of opening day. That first moment that you see the fresh, virgin grass, with the red and white bunting draping the stadium, that should never be spoiled by an exhibition. Back in the eighties and early nineties, those games were never televised, so I was never tempted to sneak a peak. I actually feel guilty watching this game.
- Flavor said, on April 2, 2015 at 7:45 pm
  
  100 bazillion percent agree.
- pawliekokonuts said, on April 2, 2015 at 7:52 pm
  
  well said….and think about it: year-round interleague play diminishes the specialness of the postseason. I believe season-long interleague started in 2012. Pffffft. The NFL-ization of MLB.
pawliekokonuts said, on April 2, 2015 at 7:39 pm

Bochy and Sabean to get contract extensions. Deservedly so.
- wilcojoe said, on April 2, 2015 at 7:47 pm
  
  Yep, at this point it should be up to them to decide when to call it a night.
salty said, on April 2, 2015 at 7:53 pm

Evans will be named GM, Sabean president
- pawliekokonuts said, on April 2, 2015 at 8:00 pm
  
  Hunh. I wonder what all that means. More power-sharing with Baer?
  - wilcojoe said, on April 2, 2015 at 8:27 pm
    
    You’re seeing a lot of teams doing the same thing. The Cubs and Dodgers come to mind, but I’am sure there are others.
willedav said, on April 2, 2015 at 8:01 pm

Not to mention about Bay Bridge Series, tonite you get to enjoy Ray Fosse.

Reminds of that great line from Zappa (Dummy Up, I think), “Not only do you get the Desenex burger…”
- DJLoo said, on April 2, 2015 at 8:07 pm
  
  Biggest myth about Fosse is that Rose wrecked his career…
Bozo said, on April 2, 2015 at 8:10 pm

willie, if we’re talking Zappa, I don’t think anything beats this line from Do You Like My Car..

. . give it to me right here in the trunk of your Gremlin . . . give me . . . GIVE ME THE ENCHILADA WITH THE PICKLE SAUCE SHOVED UP AND DOWN THE DONKEY’S ASS UNTIL HE CAN’T COME ANYMORE!
- wilcojoe said, on April 2, 2015 at 8:25 pm
  
  I was always partial to Bobby Brown.
  - DJLoo said, on April 2, 2015 at 8:37 pm
    
    Great great album and the only one I know…
- willedav said, on April 2, 2015 at 8:58 pm
  
  Is that a real poncho or a Sears poncho?
Macdog said, on April 2, 2015 at 8:10 pm

OT at the NIT!
wilcojoe said, on April 2, 2015 at 8:23 pm

Peavy looked awful tonight. Fastball topping out at 87. Leaving everything up in the zone. Let’s hope it really is just “dead arm.”
wilcojoe said, on April 2, 2015 at 8:29 pm

Never thought I would watch an NIT game but what the hell.
Macdog said, on April 2, 2015 at 8:33 pm

I had no rooting interest in this NIT final . . . until ESPN started showing Michael Irvin after every Miami basket. Way to go Stanford!
- wilcojoe said, on April 2, 2015 at 9:09 pm
  
  Right?
Alleykat said, on April 2, 2015 at 8:50 pm

Why the hell do I have to listen to Ray Fosse’s garble shit?
Especially when it’s in our freakin park.
Wtf happened to our announcers K&K, this is utterly “BULLSHIT”
Oh screw it, game out of hand anyway, on to the Dubs game.
Macdog said, on April 2, 2015 at 10:18 pm

What a wild finish to the Warriors game.
- blade3colorado said, on April 2, 2015 at 10:22 pm
  
  3 Offensive rebounds and then Curry nailing the 3 to tie the game up, was BIG.
blade3colorado said, on April 2, 2015 at 10:21 pm

Unbelievable finish to Warriors/Suns game. Must have been 3 lead changes in last 30 or so seconds, with Warriors finally winning 107-106
zumiee said, on April 2, 2015 at 10:27 pm

Puig and Kendrick need to improve their on-field communication:
http://m.mlb.com/news/article/116124080/los-angeles-dodgers-yasiel-puig-exits-game-vs-los-angeles-angels-after-collision-with-howie-kendrick